The Scorecard

Every pick I've made in a column, graded against what actually happened. Nobody is betting on these, least of all me.

Results through November 10 · Think you can do better? Beat J.A.

50–52–2NFL against the spread

49%Cover rate

4–3Cowboys picks

0Waiting on a final

Taking favorites: 39–40–1
Taking underdogs: 11–12–1
Home teams: 21–27–1
Road teams: 29–25–1

Best call Panthers −1.5 in Week 2, covered by 29.5.

Worst call Bears −2.5 in Week 5, missed by 26.5.

Week by week

Graded from final scores. A pick that lands exactly on the number is a push, which is neither a win nor a loss. Where the record in a column was different, it's noted.

Week 9 11–4

Week 9 Picks: We Are Really Struggling

Jaguars −8.5 Jaguars at Ravens · final Jaguars 33, Ravens 10 Covered
Bengals −3 Bengals at Falcons · final Bengals 34, Falcons 17 Covered
Saints −2.5 Browns at Saints · final Browns 22, Saints 23 Missed
Cowboys −6 Cowboys at Colts · final Cowboys 27, Colts 23 Missed
Broncos −3 Broncos at Panthers · final Broncos 26, Panthers 21 Covered
Lions −7 Lions at Dolphins · final Lions 19, Dolphins 9 Covered
Rams −5.5 Rams at Commanders · final Rams 20, Commanders 13 Covered
Giants +3.5 Giants at Eagles · final Giants 19, Eagles 11 Covered
Chiefs −9.5 Jets at Chiefs · final Jets 12, Chiefs 35 Covered
Texans −4.5 Texans at Chargers · final Texans 44, Chargers 22 Covered
Seahawks −11.5 Cardinals at Seahawks · final Cardinals 3, Seahawks 17 Covered
Patriots −2.5 Packers at Patriots · final Packers 45, Patriots 27 Missed
49ers −8.5 Raiders at 49ers · final Raiders 17, 49ers 38 Covered
Bears −6 Buccaneers at Bears · final Buccaneers 24, Bears 27 Missed
Bills −3 Bills at Vikings · final Bills 23, Vikings 6 Covered

Week 8 6–7

Week 8 Picks- We are so average

Packers −3.5 Panthers at Packers · final Panthers 19, Packers 27 Covered
Jaguars −7.5 Colts at Jaguars · final Colts 7, Jaguars 42 Covered
Bills −3.5 Ravens at Bills · final Ravens 10, Bills 36 Covered
Bengals −10 Titans at Bengals · final Titans 36, Bengals 43 Missed
Vikings +3 Vikings at Lions · final Vikings 15, Lions 19 Missed
Falcons +2.5 Falcons at Buccaneers · final Falcons 0, Buccaneers 16 Missed
Raiders −1.5 Raiders at Jets · final Raiders 38, Jets 33 Covered
Cowboys −6 Cardinals at Cowboys · final Cardinals 33, Cowboys 30 Missed
Rams −6.5 Chargers at Rams · final Chargers 9, Rams 24 Covered
Patriots −7.5 Patriots at Dolphins · final Patriots 24, Dolphins 19 Missed
Chiefs −1.5 Chiefs at Broncos · final Chiefs 24, Broncos 28 Missed
Commanders −4.5 Eagles at Commanders · final Eagles 10, Commanders 27 Covered
Seahawks −3.5 Bears at Seahawks · final Bears 34, Seahawks 17 Missed

Week 7 5–7–1

Week 7 Picks. Sorry for the Week Off

Patriots +3 Patriots at Bears · final Patriots 24, Bears 30 Missed
Saints +3.5 Steelers at Saints · final Steelers 16, Saints 10 Missed
Vikings −6.5 Colts at Vikings · final Colts 10, Vikings 16 Missed
Bengals +3 Bengals at Ravens · final Bengals 35, Ravens 13 Covered
Texans −10 Giants at Texans · final Giants 27, Texans 21 Missed
Browns −1.5 Browns at Titans · final Browns 27, Titans 24 Covered
Jets −4.5 Dolphins at Jets · final Dolphins 28, Jets 25 Missed
49ers −3.5 49ers at Falcons · final 49ers 20, Falcons 29 Missed
Broncos −4.5 Broncos at Cardinals · final Broncos 30, Cardinals 16 Covered
Rams −4.5 Rams at Raiders · final Rams 35, Raiders 21 Covered
Packers +3 Packers at Lions · final Packers 17, Lions 20 Push
Chiefs +2.5 Chiefs at Seahawks · final Chiefs 3, Seahawks 20 Missed
Cowboys −4.5 Cowboys at Eagles · final Cowboys 38, Eagles 21 Covered

Week 5 5–10

Week Five Picks: Still Positive on the Year

Cowboys −9.5 Buccaneers at Cowboys · final Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16 Missed
Jaguars −7.5 Eagles at Jaguars · final Eagles 17, Jaguars 19 Missed
Bengals −6.5 Bengals at Dolphins · final Bengals 31, Dolphins 24 Covered
Bears −2.5 Bears at Packers · final Bears 7, Packers 31 Missed
Titans +7.5 Texans at Titans · final Texans 26, Titans 3 Missed
Colts +2.5 Colts at Steelers · final Colts 22, Steelers 34 Missed
Raiders +3.5 Raiders at Patriots · final Raiders 17, Patriots 45 Missed
Browns +2.5 Browns at Jets · final Browns 12, Jets 17 Missed
Vikings −2.5 Vikings at Saints · final Vikings 23, Saints 13 Covered
Giants +4.5 Giants at Commanders · final Giants 27, Commanders 27 Covered
Broncos −3.5 Broncos at Chargers · final Broncos 23, Chargers 17 Covered
Lions −5.5 Lions at Cardinals · final Lions 45, Cardinals 21 Covered
Seahawks −3 49ers at Seahawks · final 49ers 32, Seahawks 29 Missed
Falcons −3 Ravens at Falcons · final Ravens 30, Falcons 23 Missed
Rams −3 Bills at Rams · final Bills 37, Rams 34 Missed

Week 4 8–7–1

Week Four Picks: Back Down to Earth

Steelers −2.5 Steelers at Browns · final Steelers 24, Browns 27 Missed
Colts −3.5 Colts at Commanders · final Colts 30, Commanders 13 Covered
Bills −7 Patriots at Bills · final Patriots 29, Bills 26 Missed
Ravens −11.5 Titans at Ravens · final Titans 18, Ravens 24 Missed
Bears −3.5 Jets at Bears · final Jets 12, Bears 23 Covered
Jaguars +2.5 Jaguars at Bengals · final Jaguars 22, Bengals 17 Covered
Cowboys +3 Cowboys at Texans · final Cowboys 34, Texans 30 Covered
Rams −3.5 Rams at Eagles · final Rams 24, Eagles 20 Covered
Packers −3.5 Packers at Buccaneers · final Packers 17, Buccaneers 14 Missed
Cardinals −2.5 Cardinals at Giants · final Cardinals 24, Giants 36 Missed
Vikings −10.5 Dolphins at Vikings · final Dolphins 10, Vikings 15 Missed
Chiefs −4.5 Chiefs at Raiders · final Chiefs 30, Raiders 27 Missed
Seahawks −7 Chargers at Seahawks · final Chargers 23, Seahawks 30 Push
49ers −3 Broncos at 49ers · final Broncos 14, 49ers 24 Covered
Panthers +3.5 Lions at Panthers · final Lions 26, Panthers 32 Covered
Falcons +2.5 Falcons at Saints · final Falcons 45, Saints 24 Covered

Week 3 6–10

Week Three Picks: I'm on Fire

Packers −5.5 Falcons at Packers · final Falcons 35, Packers 14 Missed
Bills −7 Chargers at Bills · final Chargers 16, Bills 24 Covered
Seahawks −7 Seahawks at Commanders · final Seahawks 31, Commanders 33 Missed
Lions −6.5 Jets at Lions · final Jets 24, Lions 31 Covered
Chiefs −11.5 Chiefs at Dolphins · final Chiefs 24, Dolphins 10 Covered
Bengals −3.5 Bengals at Steelers · final Bengals 27, Steelers 30 Missed
Panthers −2.5 Panthers at Browns · final Panthers 18, Browns 21 Missed
Colts +2.5 Texans at Colts · final Texans 17, Colts 19 Covered
Jaguars −3 Patriots at Jaguars · final Patriots 6, Jaguars 35 Covered
Titans +3 Titans at Giants · final Titans 7, Giants 12 Missed
49ers −8.5 Cardinals at 49ers · final Cardinals 30, 49ers 36 Missed
Buccaneers +1.5 Vikings at Buccaneers · final Vikings 23, Buccaneers 16 Missed
Saints −3 Raiders at Saints · final Raiders 35, Saints 27 Missed
Cowboys +3.5 Ravens at Cowboys · final Ravens 34, Cowboys 31 Covered
Rams −2.5 Rams at Broncos · final Rams 26, Broncos 30 Missed
Eagles −4.5 Eagles at Bears · final Eagles 7, Bears 27 Missed

Week 2 9–7

NFL Week Two Picks:

Bills −4.5 Lions at Bills · final Lions 31, Bills 41 Covered
Panthers −1.5 Panthers at Falcons · final Panthers 34, Falcons 3 Covered
Saints +8.5 Saints at Ravens · final Saints 24, Ravens 17 Covered
Bears −6.5 Vikings at Bears · final Vikings 9, Bears 3 Missed
Bengals +2.5 Bengals at Texans · final Bengals 20, Texans 6 Covered
Patriots −5.5 Steelers at Patriots · final Steelers 3, Patriots 20 Covered
Packers −4 Packers at Jets · final Packers 20, Jets 17 Missed
Buccaneers −8.5 Browns at Buccaneers · final Browns 23, Buccaneers 19 Missed
Eagles −7 Eagles at Titans · final Eagles 24, Titans 20 Missed
Jaguars +2.5 Jaguars at Broncos · final Jaguars 13, Broncos 20 Missed
Chargers −7 Raiders at Chargers · final Raiders 26, Chargers 14 Missed
Seahawks −5 Seahawks at Cardinals · final Seahawks 31, Cardinals 7 Covered
Cowboys −4 Commanders at Cowboys · final Commanders 20, Cowboys 37 Covered
49ers −13.5 Dolphins at 49ers · final Dolphins 13, 49ers 35 Covered
Chiefs −6.5 Colts at Chiefs · final Colts 30, Chiefs 33 Missed
Rams −7.5 Giants at Rams · final Giants 6, Rams 28 Covered

NBA daily picks

Picked game by game in the Watch Log app, against lines pulled early in the morning (they may not be the closing lines). Every pick with its final is on the Watch Log.

44–37NBA against the spread

54.3%Cover rate

56–25Straight up

Favorites: 31–20
Underdogs: 13–17
Backing the Pacers: 1–3
Locks: 6–3

NBA over/unders

Season win totals from NBA Over Under Picks and Awards. "On pace" stretches the current record over 82 games; about 10 games in, that means very little yet. A pick is final once the math can't change.

16 on pace · 14 off pace

LAL Lakers over 45.510–2 · on pace for 68 On pace
PHI 76ers over 50.59–2 · on pace for 67 On pace
BOS Celtics under 51.58–2 · on pace for 66 Off pace
OKC Thunder under 62.58–2 · on pace for 66 Off pace
SAS Spurs over 60.58–2 · on pace for 66 On pace
MIN Timberwolves over 47.58–3 · on pace for 60 On pace
MEM Grizzlies under 29.57–3 · on pace for 57 Off pace
HOU Rockets under 48.57–3 · on pace for 57 Off pace
GSW Warriors over 36.57–3 · on pace for 57 On pace
DET Pistons under 48.57–3 · on pace for 57 Off pace
POR Trail Blazers under 40.56–3 · on pace for 55 Off pace
DAL Mavericks over 33.57–4 · on pace for 52 On pace
DEN Nuggets over 48.55–3 · on pace for 51 On pace
ATL Hawks under 43.57–5 · on pace for 48 Off pace
NYK Knicks under 52.55–4 · on pace for 46 On pace
TOR Raptors under 46.55–5 · on pace for 41 On pace
CLE Cavaliers over 47.55–6 · on pace for 37 Off pace
MIA Heat over 45.54–6 · on pace for 33 Off pace
NOP Pelicans under 28.54–6 · on pace for 33 Off pace
PHX Suns over 39.53–5 · on pace for 31 Off pace
CHA Hornets under 37.54–7 · on pace for 30 On pace
WAS Wizards under 34.54–7 · on pace for 30 On pace
IND Pacers over 44.53–8 · on pace for 22 Off pace
LAC Clippers under 28.52–7 · on pace for 18 On pace
ORL Magic under 43.52–7 · on pace for 18 On pace
BKN Nets over 24.52–8 · on pace for 16 Off pace
CHI Bulls over 29.51–8 · on pace for 9 Off pace
SAC Kings under 20.51–9 · on pace for 8 On pace
UTA Jazz under 36.51–9 · on pace for 8 On pace
MIL Bucks under 25.51–9 · on pace for 8 On pace

Futures

Awards and titles from the same column. These get graded in June.

MVP: Wemby +205
ROTY: Boozer +250
MIP: Harper +950
DPOY: Wemby -360
COTY: Rick Carlisle +900
6th Man: Kelly Oubre +5000
Clutch: Haliburton +2200
East: Pacers +1200
West: Spurs +150
Champion: Pacers +3500